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Post by EVangelist on Apr 2, 2016 14:35:25 GMT 11
Same here, ordered on line yesterday but no email confirmation yet. But checking my credit card account, the $1500 deposit has already been taken out by TeslaMotors. Congrats James after watching the launch and the drive test videos afterwards, I will barely be able to wait 2 years. It looks beyond awesome! Do you have a MyTesla account? Just create one with the same email address used to reserve the M3 and you should see your reservation there. The email itself is not that exciting. This is all it says, along with a PDF of the Reservation Agreement (which you can also lookup online): Thank You Your reservation is confirmedModel 3 production is scheduled to begin in late 2017. North American deliveries will be first, followed by Europe, Asia and Pacific countries then countries with right-hand drive configurations. Those who own Model S or Model X cars will be offered priority production slots as a special thanks for supporting the Tesla mission. Reservation Confirmation $1,500 Reservation Payment Billed to <blah>
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Post by jacky on Apr 2, 2016 15:09:47 GMT 11
I also received the reservation email a few hours ago.
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Post by southernvolt on Apr 2, 2016 19:21:12 GMT 11
I was lucky enough to be 4th in the queue in Melbourne after a few short hours in the cold and dark . Turned out to be a good thing as I'm in the first 10 reservations in Oz and it's now north of 230,000 worldwide. I'm also lucky enough that I can sec up a car to make sure it'll be delivered quickly as they have indicated top spec'd cars will be delivered first. I'm very excited after seeing the car at the launch as it's better than I thought - and I had high expectations .
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Post by jamesfongster on Apr 2, 2016 22:03:31 GMT 11
I also received the reservation email a few hours ago. Looks like we all got our email confirmations around the same time. Got mine earlier today as well. For for a couple of years' of waiting..
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Post by EVangelist on Apr 2, 2016 23:34:07 GMT 11
I was lucky enough to be 4th in the queue in Melbourne after a few short hours in the cold and dark . Turned out to be a good thing as I'm in the first 10 reservations in Oz and it's now north of 230,000 worldwide. I'm also lucky enough that I can sec up a car to make sure it'll be delivered quickly as they have indicated top spec'd cars will be delivered first. I'm very excited after seeing the car at the launch as it's better than I thought - and I had high expectations . How do you know for sure you are in the first 10 reservations in Oz? I estimate I am in the top 100 (just) based on my rough count of 50 ahead of me in Sydney and possibly a few less in Melbourne. Brisbane didn't open until 2 hours after. I won't get a particularly high spec'd car - bigger battery for sure, but probably none of the other stuff (2WD is fine for me, don't want leather seats, or enhanced sound system, or sunroof - the entire thing is glass anyway ) Agree the car exceeds expectations - my biggest concern is that we'll be waiting 3 years not 2!
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Post by EVangelist on Apr 2, 2016 23:48:54 GMT 11
Actually southernvolt - it would be really interesting if we could crowd-source the first 100 reservations based on the timestamp of the reservation emails. I received mine within a minute (Tesla servers were empty as Oz was first to open, so emails should have come through immediately).
Looking at the raw message header, the timestamp from web06a.sjc05.teslamotors.com is Wed 30 Mar 14:49:00 (California time) which is 08:49 AEDST.
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Post by southernvolt on Apr 4, 2016 20:10:47 GMT 11
Actually southernvolt - it would be really interesting if we could crowd-source the first 100 reservations based on the timestamp of the reservation emails. I received mine within a minute (Tesla servers were empty as Oz was first to open, so emails should have come through immediately). Looking at the raw message header, the timestamp from web06a.sjc05.teslamotors.com is Wed 30 Mar 14:49:00 (California time) which is 08:49 AEDST. I'm guestimating top ten because I was 4th in the Q. The first in Oz announced by Tesla were the couple first in line in Melb, not the guy caped in Sydney. The couple first in line were at one desk and the two guys in front of me both went into a desk to reserve. As soon as the couple left the desk I sat down and reserved and it was processed pretty quickly. I got the email after a few minutes (checked it after I bought merch . My email states it arrived at 8:10am. Header has: Date: Wed, 30 Mar 2016 14:10:01 -0700
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Post by empowerrepower on Apr 4, 2016 22:41:09 GMT 11
Well, it would be good to be near the front of the queue, now up to 276 thousand reservations, according to Giles Parkinson link It could be a very long wait for those further down the line, as I believe that Tesla only make about 50 000 cars a year, and the Model 3 will only be one model of several. I think with that level of demand, they could charge a higher price in the non-US markets. Such sensational interest in a new EV is a great sign of growing EV awareness.
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Post by EVangelist on Apr 10, 2016 20:11:56 GMT 11
Tesla has announced that the total of reservations of Model 3 in week 1 has exceeded 325,000. Truly extraordinary. It took Nissan 5 years to reach global sales of 200,000 - making it the world's top selling BEV. Tesla (assuming most reservations turn into sales) has just busted that in ONE WEEK!
Try to wrap your head around that...
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Post by Phoebe on Apr 10, 2016 20:56:37 GMT 11
Tesla has announced that the total of reservations of Model 3 in week 1 has exceeded 325,000. Truly extraordinary. It took Nissan 5 years to reach global sales of 200,000 - making it the world's top selling BEV. Tesla (assuming most reservations turn into sales) has just busted that in ONE WEEK! Try to wrap your head around that... And 5% were orderes for 2!!!
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Post by gabzimiev on Apr 10, 2016 21:05:09 GMT 11
it's great for EVs in general means lots more car makers will wake up and listen. youtu.be/6TcoAnk_Q-c gives a more down to earth run of what is standard and extra..I have a feeling that the model 3 we all want options wise might be closer to $90k. AUD.
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Post by EVangelist on Apr 10, 2016 21:28:07 GMT 11
it's great for EVs in general means lots more car makers will wake up and listen. youtu.be/6TcoAnk_Q-c gives a more down to earth run of what is standard and extra..I have a feeling that the model 3 we all want options wise might be closer to $90k. AUD. Yes it is great for EVs... bit I'm starting to think that unless all the non-Tesla automakers swallow their pride (or hostility), and join together to build a common fast charging network of their own, they will risk further and further market share loss to Tesla. The Tesla supercharger network is one of the top reasons I put down a reservation, as I need to replace my long distance ICE. But of course the conundrum they face is that would cost them a lot of money, force them to properly invest in EVs in order to justify the charger investment, which in turn slolwly cannibalises their legacy ICE business and erodes their profit - the kind of thing their shareholders will HATE. It's the perfect pincer movement of disruption. I agree re the Model 3 upsizing. I'm definitely getting long range battery, may go for AWD (two motors make the car more efficient and longer range), and that moon roof is looking pretty cool. When it comes to choosing the specs, I fear rationality may be a distant second, and I may tick many more boxes on the menu than I should
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Post by hieronymous on Apr 10, 2016 21:53:19 GMT 11
Ahhh...... the ultimate triumph of lust over common sense?
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Post by caroline on Apr 20, 2016 12:33:17 GMT 11
I'm planning on making it to Carindale Brisbane launch by 9am Hi Caroline, How was the Brisbane launch? Sydney and Melbourne seem to have got all the attention. Sorry just found this! Was fun - a lot of Tesla owners there lining up for their 2nd... got my reservation in and was the first Qld female to do so :-)
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Post by caroline on Apr 20, 2016 12:47:19 GMT 11
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Post by caroline on Apr 20, 2016 12:50:48 GMT 11
Ahhh...... the ultimate triumph of lust over common sense? really? well at this rate (6500km per bar) my leaf will not be usable by the time the model 3 rolls out... So Common sense prevails for me.
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Post by EVangelist on Apr 20, 2016 23:25:07 GMT 11
Was fun - a lot of Tesla owners there lining up for their 2nd... got my reservation in and was the first Qld female to do so :-) Interesting you say that - my impression in Sydney also was that existing Tesla owners were a high proportion if not majority of those lining up. Whereas in the USA, according to some of the threads on the Tesla forum, existing Tesla owners were a small minority - less than 20%. Hence brand recognition and launch awareness much higher in USA than elsewhere - no real surprise there. It all adds up, because they have nearly 400,000 reservations, but have only sold about 110,000 cars worldwide since inception. So existing Tesla owners cannot be more than 25% of all reservations worldwide. So... have you thought about what options you might get when it comes time (hopefully early 2018!) to spec the car?
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Post by EVangelist on Apr 20, 2016 23:26:29 GMT 11
Ahhh...... the ultimate triumph of lust over common sense? Yes. I admit it!
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Post by caroline on Apr 21, 2016 8:18:32 GMT 11
Was fun - a lot of Tesla owners there lining up for their 2nd... got my reservation in and was the first Qld female to do so :-) So... have you thought about what options you might get when it comes time (hopefully early 2018!) to spec the car? Not yet - am hoping I won't need to spend too much more than the base price... Though I will pay for the larger capacity battery for more range.
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Post by EVangelist on Apr 21, 2016 14:58:07 GMT 11
Not yet - am hoping I won't need to spend too much more than the base price... Though I will pay for the larger capacity battery for more range. There's speculation on the Tesla forums (noting that no-one actually knows anything, it's all guesswork and made-up stuff) that Model 3 will have a more limited range of options than Model S to reduce the number of variants they have to produce. One speculation is that there will only be 2 or at most 3 battery options, and that if you want long-range battery, you will also have to get dual-motor. I guess we will find out... eventually.
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Post by southernvolt on Apr 23, 2016 17:53:00 GMT 11
I keep forgetting to add this. In the background of the car advice Tesla Model 3 reservation interviews - Nissan Leaf represent!
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Post by jeffjl on May 1, 2016 16:16:27 GMT 11
Ahhh...... the ultimate triumph of lust over common sense? really? well at this rate (6500km per bar) my leaf will not be usable by the time the model 3 rolls out... So Common sense prevails for me. I lost my first bar below 9000km, but still to lose my second (now at 18,000km). I think we just got dicky batteries to begin with. I believe your Leaf will last until your model 3 appears in your driveway.
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Post by EVangelist on May 9, 2016 14:55:53 GMT 11
Those interested in Tesla may be aware that at their earnings call last week, Elon Musk announced a significantly ramped up production schedule for the Model 3 due to the incredible demand.
They are now planning to produce 100,000 Model 3s by late next year and bring forward their 500k cars per year target from 2020 to 2018.
There are huge risks in terms of cost, timing and quality control doing that, but if they can pull it off it would be incredible. 100k model 3s by end 2017 would mean that everyone who put down a deposit instore, including RHD markets, would receive their car by March 2018.
The naysayers of course say Tesla is always late and this is a trainwreck just waiting to happen.
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Post by Phoebe on May 9, 2016 15:01:18 GMT 11
Won't hold my breath
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Post by EVangelist on May 12, 2016 15:20:48 GMT 11
A Spanish website did an interesting analysis attempting to estimate the number of Model 3 reservations by country by extrapolating Google adwords data.
They estimated 7,100 for Australia which, if true and all reservations converted to sales, would mean that Model 3 would increase Australia's total fleet of BEV's by a factor of six! Wow!
They estimated 255,000 reservations for USA, which would represent a doubling of the entire fleet of BEVs in USA to over half a million.
Obama had a target of 1 million EVs in USA by the end of 2015 (BEVs and PHEVs). That target wasn't met, but you'd have to say the way the growth rates are going, 2018 is realistic if not likely.
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Post by jake on May 13, 2016 12:10:16 GMT 11
A Spanish website did an interesting analysis attempting to estimate the number of Model 3 reservations by country by extrapolating Google adwords data. They estimated 7,100 for Australia which, if true and all reservations converted to sales, would mean that Model 3 would increase Australia's total fleet of BEV's by a factor of six! Wow! They estimated 255,000 reservations for USA, which would represent a doubling of the entire fleet of BEVs in USA to over half a million. Obama had a target of 1 million EVs in USA by the end of 2015 (BEVs and PHEVs). That target wasn't met, but you'd have to say the way the growth rates are going, 2018 is realistic if not likely. Yes Tesla have been smart in making the deposit refundable but the problem with this is how many people will go through with the sale in 2017/2018 when the car might end up being $80,000? If Tesla can make it cheap enough it will take off. The other thing is that by that time, other manufacturers might have competing products that will lure buyers away. However the sheer number of people who put their money down is very exciting and good for the future of BEVs. The model 3 looks great. If I could afford one, I would get one, but who knows the next generation Leaf might be out by then with its own self driving features etc. and similar range.
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